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Trump 4-Year Projection
4-Year Projected Clemency
Verification Pending
Trump 2nd term annualized over 4 years vs. historical totals
Adjust Projection Assumptions
1.0x
No surge (1x)Moderate (2.5x)High (5x)
Presidents often increase clemency in final 90 days. Historical average is ~2x.
100%
Slower (50%)Current (100%)Faster (200%)
Adjust if you expect the pace to increase or decrease from current rate.
Presets:
Trump 2nd Term ProjectionFORECAST
Based on 1,777 pardons and 29 commutations in 546 days(3.3/day pardons, 0.1/day commutations)
4,752
Projected Pardons
78
Projected Commutations
4,830
Projected Total
Trump (2025-2029)4-YEAR PROJECTION
4,830projected
4,752 pardons78 commutations
Trump (2025-2029)ACTUAL TO DATE
1,806so far
HISTORICAL COMPARISON
#1Joe Biden(2021-2025)
4,245
80 pardons4,165 commutations
#2Franklin D. Roosevelt(1933-1945)
3,796
3,796 pardons0 commutations
#3Woodrow Wilson(1913-1921)
2,480
2,480 pardons0 commutations
#4Harry Truman(1945-1953)
2,162
2,044 pardons118 commutations
#5Barack Obama(2009-2017)
1,927
212 pardons1,715 commutations
#6Calvin Coolidge(1923-1929)
1,545
1,545 pardons0 commutations
#7Herbert Hoover(1929-1933)
1,385
1,385 pardons0 commutations
#8Ulysses S. Grant(1869-1877)
1,332
1,332 pardons0 commutations
#9Lyndon B. Johnson(1963-1969)
1,186
960 pardons226 commutations
#10Dwight Eisenhower(1953-1961)
1,157
1,110 pardons47 commutations
Pardons
Commutations
VerifiedVerifying
Projection Methodology: Base rate calculated from current clemency actions ÷ days in office. Surge factor applies to final 90 days of term (historical average ~2x). Pace adjustment scales the daily rate for remaining term. Projection updates daily based on actual data.
Live Pardons Database
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Pardons Database
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